2008 COLORADO CITY & COUNTY PROGRAM FORECAST
2008 HMA SUPPLY AT THE PLANT
Of 50 agencies responding, 14 indicated that the projected 2008 volumes would either be the same as 2007 or they provided insufficient information to determine whether or not there was a change planned. 2 agencies indicated decreases, 14 indicated increases planned, and 14 had no HMA supply planned. Reported funding levels totaled $22.7M for 2008 in comparison to $20.6 M in 2007 with approximately the same number of respondents for the 2008 survey.
Strong Program, but no Changes Planned:- Adams County-$1M, 70,000 tons; City of Delta - $300,000; City of Greeley-$200,000, 5200 tons; City of Lakewood-$420,000; City of Longmont- $250,000; City of Thornton- $492,000, 12,300 tons; El Paso County-$250,000; City of Wheatridge-1M, (up 100%); Northwest Parkway-$100,000 (up 100%); Weld County-$3 M (up 20%)
Significant Reductions: Arapahoe County-(down 20%); City of Westminster-(Down 6%)
Significant Increases: City of Broomfield-40% increase in 2008; City of Idaho Springs-$35,000 (up 700 %); City of Louisville-(up 50%); City of Northglenn-$60,000 (up 57%); City of Wheatridge-1M, (up 100%); Northwest Parkway-$100,000 (up 100%); Weld County- $3 M (up 20%)
2008 CITY/COUNTY FORECAST FOR HMA SUPPLY: Overall, we anticipate a slight increase in HMA Supply at the Plant projected in 2008. Although approximately 35% of respondents indicated an increase quantity or increase in funding for HMA Supply at the Plant for 2008, 15% indicated a decrease planned from 2007.
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2008 STREET/ROAD MAINTENANCE BUDGET
Of 50 responses, 22 indicated little if any changes in funding or HMA quantity planned for 2008. 17 indicated increases planned, 6 indicated decreases planned, and 5 either had no funding planned for Street/Road Maintenance or the response lacked data to compare to previous years. Reported funding levels totaled $69.6M for 2008 in comparison to $65 M in 2007 with approximately the same number of respondents fore the 2008 survey.
Several agencies indicated that a higher level of maintenance funds would be used for HMA overlay versus maintenance applications. These agencies include Adams County, Arapahoe County, Arvada, Broomfield, Colorado Springs, Golden, Grand Junction, Commerce City and Parker.
Strong program but no Changes Planned - Adams County - $6 million; Colorado Springs - $7.8 Million; City and County of Broomfield - $2.5 M; Loveland - $3.25M; Greenwood Village $3.23M.
Significant Decreases: City of Arvada.
Significant Increases: Cherry Hills Village-$730,000 (up 18%); City of Greeley -$2.25M (up 50%); City of Lakewood-$5.4M (up 20%); City of Northglenn-$10,000 (Up 100%).
2008 CITY/COUNTY FORECAST FOR STREET/ROAD MAINTENANCE PROGRAM: Overall, there appears to be an increase in funding for street/road maintenance in 2008. HMA quantities projected for street/road maintenance in Colorado in 2008 should have a slight increase based on the information obtained.
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2008 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAMS
Of 50 responses, 43 agencies indicated no changes planned for 2008 or there was insufficient data submitted to determine the change from 2007. 6 agencies indicated increases planned, several of which were significant and 2 agencies indicated decreases planned. There were several agencies that have had significant CIP programs in the past and plans for 2008 have not been finalized.
Significant Program – City of Grand Junction - $7.86 M, City of Greeley, $1.5 M, City of Littleton, $1M, City of Loveland $6 M, City of Pueblo, $1.2M, City of Louisville $4 M, Commerce City $35.2 M, El Paso County $25 M
Significant Decreases: City of Grand Junction, (down 67%, riverside parkway is in completion), Northwest Parkway (Down 9.2%),
Significant Increases: City of Idaho Springs, (up 79%), City of Lafayette $1.5M(Up 2700%), City of Loveland $6.0 M, (up 31%), City of Steamboat Springs $568,000,(up 30%)
2008 CITY/COUNTY FORECAST FOR CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM: The trend is that more agencies are reporting that CIP work for 2008 is at the same or above 2007 levels as compared to a decrease. However, the increase in funding may be offset by the rising cost of construction and thus no increase in HMA quantity for CIP work in 2008.
GENERAL COMMENTS
There were several agencies that reported significant information.
- Larimer County CIP - $7.7 M
- Commerce City CIP - $35.0 M
- Grand Junction CIP - $7.8M
- Colorado Springs and El Paso County continue to benefit from the PPRTA
- City of Denver will benefit from Referendum A-I, It is to be seen how much of the referendum money will be contracted out
- Several agencies have shifted the use of street improvement funds to use higher %’s of HMA versus other maintenance applications.
- Winter Park $1.0M - CIP
This report has attempted to project whether hot mix asphalt volumes used by cities and counties in Colorado in 2008 will be different than in 2007. There are several factors or variables that make this task very challenging.
- Agencies shifting funds to different program areas.
- Some agencies did not have any information from the previous year.
- Uncertainty in budget for coming year.
- Breakdown of fund usage for CIP work.
- Lack of submittal by some large agencies (Jefferson County, Boulder County, Mesa County, City of Brighton, City of Ft Collins, E-470 Public Highway Authority, etc.).
MORE INFORMATION
Contact: Tom Clayton, SET, Director of Training, RMAEC/CAPA, 303-741-6148, tomclayton@co-asphalt.com
CAPA is again this year compiling information on the local Agency plans for the use of HMA in 2008. We have put together a short survey which can be completed in 5 to 10 minutes. This is a program that helps the suppliers in preparing for the placement and sales of HMA from the plant.
If you are the person who has the information, please complete the survey and return it to CAPA by November 16, 2007
2007 COLORADO CITY & COUNTY PROGRAM FORECAST
2007 HMA SUPPLY AT THE PLANT
Of 51 agencies responding, 17 indicated that the projected 2007 volumes would either be the same as 2006 or they provided insufficient information to determine whether or not there was a change planned. 7 agencies indicated decreases, 18 indicated increases planned, and 9 had no HMA supply planned. Reported funding levels totaled $20.6 M for 2007 in comparison to $12.8 M in 2006. However, 14 more responses were received for the 2007 forecast.
Strong Program, but no Changes Planned:- City of Aurora - $1 M (35,000 tons of HMA), Adams County - $1 M, City of Colorado Springs (80,000 tons of HMA), City of Durango (up 10%), City of Ft. Collins - $1.5 M (70,000 tons of HMA),
Significant Reductions: El Paso County (down 9%), Town of Erie (down 40%), City of Longmont down 90%, City of Westminster down 22% to 12,500 tons.
Significant Increases: City of Brighton up 20%, City of Ft. Collins up slightly ($2.5 million 75,000 tons), City of Greeley up 43%, Lakewood up to 20% to $260,000 (8,000 tons of HMA), City of Pueblo up 5% (17,000 tons of HMA), City of Thornton up 3% to $425,000 and 14,655 tons of HMA, Weld County up 35%.
2007 CITY/COUNTY FORECAST FOR HMA SUPPLY: Overall, no change in HMA Supply at the Plant is projected in 2007. Although approximately 35% of respondents indicated an increase quantity or increase in funding for HMA Supply at the Plant for 2007, 15% indicated a decrease planned from 2006. Furthermore, the potential for increase HMA Supply at the Plant in 2007 may be offset by higher costs of construction.
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2007 STREET/ROAD MAINTENANCE BUDGET
Of 51 responses, 10 indicated little if any changes in funding or HMA quantity planned for 2007. 18 indicated increases planned, 9 indicated decreases planned, and 14 either had no funding planned for Street/Road Maintenance or the response lacked data to compare to previous years. Reported funding levels totaled $65 M for 2007 in comparison to $52.8 M in 2006. However, 14 more responses were received for the 2007 forecast. Several agencies indicated that a higher level of maintenance funds would be used for HMA overlay versus maintenance applications. These agencies include Ft. Collins, Greeley, Loveland, and Westminster.
Strong program but no Changes Planned - Adams County - $6 million, Colorado Springs - $7.8 Million, Grand Junction - $3.6 M, Loveland - $2.25 M, Northwest Parkway - $1.7 M,
Significant Decreases: Broomfield, Commerce City, Ft. Collins – down 10%, Lakewood down 50%, Summit County.
Significant Increases: City of Aurora - $8.5 M (up 16%), Durango, El Paso County - $4.3 M – (up 25%), Erie, Greenwood Village, Longmont, Steamboat Springs, Thornton, Westminster.
2007 CITY/COUNTY FORECAST FOR STREET/ROAD MAINTENANCE PROGRAM: Overall, there appears to be an increase in funding for street/road maintenance in 2007. However, the increased cost of construction may offset the increase in funding and thus the HMA quantities projected for street/road maintenance in Colorado in 2007 should remain about the same as in 2006.
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2007 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAMS
Of 51 responses, 28 agencies indicated no changes planned for 2007 or there was insufficient data submitted to determine the change from 2006. 14 agencies indicated increases planned, several of which were significant and 6 agencies indicated decreases planned. There were several agencies that have had significant CIP programs in the past and plans for 2007 have not been finalized (Ft. Collins, Greenwood Village, Longmont, Douglas County).
Significant Program – City of Grand Junction - $50.4 M, El Paso County $9.27 M, Greenwood Village - $3.2 M, Larimer County - $1.7 M, Littleton - $1 M, Town of Castle Rock - $2.3 M, Colorado Springs - $6.5 M to $7.5 M, City of Durango - $3.2 M.
Significant Decreases: Broomfield, Thornton., E-470 no scheduled overlays planned (I-70 interchange only scheduled project), City of Pueblo down 25% to $1.2 M (20,000 tons of HMA), City of Thornton – maintenance applications only in 2006,
Significant Increases: Brighton, Commerce City, LaPlata County., Loveland, Lakewood, Greeley, Pitkin County, Steamboat Springs, Larimer County, El Paso County, Colorado Springs,
2007 CITY/COUNTY FORECAST FOR CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM: The trend is that more agencies are reporting that CIP work for 2007 is at the same or above 2006 levels as compared to a decrease. However, the increase in funding may be offset by the rising cost of construction and thus no increase in HMA quantity for CIP work in 2007.
GENERAL COMMENTS
There were several agencies that reported significant information.
Larimer County CIP - $7.7 M
Commerce City CIP - $9.0 M
Colorado Springs and El Paso County continue to benefit from the PPRTA
E-470 – no overlay work planned in 2007.
Several agencies have shifted the use of street improvement funds to use higher %’s of HMA versus other maintenance applications.
Steamboat Springs CIP - $800,000
This report has attempted to project whether hot mix asphalt volumes used by cities and counties in Colorado in 2007 will be different than in 2006. There are several factors or variables that make this task very challenging.
Agencies shifting funds to different program areas.
Some agencies we had no 3information from the previous year.
Uncertainty in budget for coming year.
Breakdown of fund usage for CIP work.
Lack of submittal by some large agencies (Arapahoe County, Jefferson County, Boulder County, Town of Parker, Littleton, Mesa County, etc.).
MORE INFORMATION
Contact:
Tom Clayton
SET Director of Training
RMAEC/CAPA
303-741-6148
tomclayton@co-asphalt.com
TO PRINT THE REPORT WITH THE SURVEY SUMMARY CLICK HERE
To see previous years forecasts, click here
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